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  • ErnaP

44 Beiträge seit 26.04.2023

CMIP6 Modelle

https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/11/161

Testing the CMIP6 GCM Simulations versus Surface Temperature Records from 1980–1990 to 2011–2021: High ECS Is Not Supported

(1) most GCMs overestimate the warming observed during the last 40 years; (2) there is great variability among the models in reconstructing the climatic changes observed in the Arctic; (3) the ocean temperature is usually overestimated more than the land one; (4) in the latitude bands 40° N–70° N and 50° S–70° S (which lay at the intersection between the Ferrel and the polar atmospheric cells) the CMIP6 GCMs overestimate the warming; (5) similar discrepancies are present in the east-equatorial pacific region (which regulates the ENSO) and in other regions where cooling trends are observed.

Die neuen CMIP6 Modelle können nicht einmal die Erwärmung der letzten 40 Jahre
reproduzieren.

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