> Wie kann eine Studie das zeigen, wenn die _Messwerte_ das Gegenteil
> _belegen_?
>
> Ach so, es handelt sich wieder einmal lediglich um substanzlose
> Spekulationen, wie später im Artikel erwähnt wird.
Soso.
Zitat: "Atlantic tropical cyclones are getting stronger on average,
with a 30-year trend that has been related to an increase in ocean
temperatures over the Atlantic Ocean and elsewhere. Over the rest of
the tropics, however, possible trends in tropical cyclone intensity
are less obvious, owing to the unreliability and incompleteness of
the observational record and to a restricted focus, in previous trend
analyses, on changes in average intensity."
Sehr aufschlußreich. Weiter heißt es: "Here we overcome these two
limitations by examining trends in the upper quantiles of per-cyclone
maximum wind speeds (that is, the maximum intensities that cyclones
achieve during their lifetimes), estimated from homogeneous data
derived from an archive of satellite records. We find significant
upward trends for wind speed quantiles above the 70th percentile,
with trends as high as 0.3 plusminus 0.09 m s-1 yr-1 (s.e.) for the
strongest cyclones. We note separate upward trends in the estimated
lifetime-maximum wind speeds of the very strongest tropical cyclones
(99th percentile) over each ocean basin, with the largest increase at
this quantile occurring over the North Atlantic, although not all
basins show statistically significant increases. Our results are
qualitatively consistent with the hypothesis that as the seas warm,
the ocean has more energy to convert to tropical cyclone wind."
So hört sich also für einen Troll "substanzlose Spekulation" an.
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