die da wäre, dass die USA dank Fracking zum führenden Ölproduzenten avancieren werden.
Neueste Zahlen zeigen, dass Fracking peakt und sich der Fracking-Boom seinem Ende entgegenneigt, siehe zB hier.
http://www.resilience.org/stories/2016-04-04/peak-oil-review-april-4b
Dort gibt es Daten, die denen des Artikels glatt widersprechen. ZB steigen die Importe der USA seit kurzem wieder an.
The slower-than-expected decline in US oil production despite a large drop in the number of active drilling rigs is weighing on the markets as is a substantial increase in US oil imports and an unexpected drop in US oil exports in the last few months... US production still is forecast to continue dropping this year, and output from several of the weaker oil exporting states continues to slip slowly.
US oil imports jumped to a three-year high in what looks to be a reversal of a years-long decline in the amount of foreign crude brought into the American market. As of March 25, the four-week average of imports was running at 7.9 million barrels a day, 9.8 percent higher than the year before. (4/1)
Ausserdem werden in nächster Zukunft so einige Fracking-Firmen ins Grass beissen - und vielleicht sogar Banken:
In the meantime, the situation in the US oil industry continues to deteriorate. The latest concern is for the wellbeing of the banks that have loaned the billions of dollars to shale oil drillers in the last decade. Some foresee that the regional banks that have too much invested in oil could be in trouble before the year is out. It seems reasonably certain that many banks are going to cut the lines of credit for many smaller shale oil drillers in the next few weeks which could drive them into bankruptcy. Some 50 North American oil and gas producers have declared bankruptcy since early 2015. However, these are mostly small firms that had accounted for only a tiny share of US production and are having little impact on production. Many companies have continued to produce oil in the midst of bankruptcies as there is little marginal cost to keeping the oil flowing as compared to the expense of drilling and fracking new wells.
Der Autor scheint sich mit dem Phänomen Peak Oil überhaupt nicht befasst zu haben.